ADI is not only a good proxy for the MENA market but also an outperformer for the region. Can you rank UAE among the MENA (The Middle East and North African) countries? This question might need a world bank paper to ponder fundamentally on the strength and weakness of the country compared to the region. […]
Indexing top losers and winners could be an easy way to identify, capture performance and illustrate performance cyclicality. The whole idea of performance is about benchmarking, good stock picking, losing less and of course making a profit. Behavioral Finance talks about a simple approach to performance, buying the losers and selling the winners. It was […]
Performance cycles not only work at all time degrees but also challenge the idea of hedging. We were the first ever in the world to talk about long India and short China on 21 Feb 2009. We were also the first to publish long Nikkei-short BVSP Brazil, long Russia – short Nikkei, long India – […]
Extending time fractals to explain the transformation of the bell curve into the Pareto principle reconciles the 150 year efficient and inefficient market debate. Robert Brown, a Scottish botanist observed the random Brownian motion nearly 250 years back. Nearly the same time Carl Gauss, also known as the Princeps mathematicorum (prince of mathematicians) created the […]
Starting with the fundamental idea of an “emerging market economy”, it’s role, utility and dynamics in the current global set up as a balancing economic block, the paper analysis Goldman Sach’s emerging BRIC’s countries model in context of the pre and post 2008 financial crisis. The paper looks at micro and macroeconomic valuations, currency and the economic cycles to illustrate changes in the four economies. Using Japan as a developed economy, the paper also makes a comparative approach and tries to forecast the economic development of the block and respective relation among these countries.
History makes observations regarding consistent economic and cultural growth by being self reliant. Revisiting those lessons might suggest a way out of the ongoing crisis.